Showing posts with label ufc predictions. Show all posts
Showing posts with label ufc predictions. Show all posts

Friday, March 15, 2013

UFC 158 Tomorrow - Current Champ GSP VS Nick Diaz


Alright boys and girls, fight fans of all ages - it’s that time again where we have a big fight on the horizon with big names and a 170lb belt up for grabs. As always, I have a good post for you putting out some bold predictions to compliment my past winning record predictions.

This Saturday’s fights UFC 158 on PPV are between some of the top MMA fighters in the world, don’t be a pussy, comment and put yourself out there and tell me what your predictions are for these big Welterweight bouts! 


Major Preliminary Card fight – Broadcast on FX

Patrick Côté VS Bobby Voelker
Okay, I may be a bit biased on this fight because I tend to lean towards fighters I have some type of connection with. I was able to see Bobby Voelker fight a couple of times a few years ago before moving down to Arizona and he is a pretty well rounded fighter. However, only having 4 fights in the last 3 years (three of the four against Roger Bowling), I’m not sure if he is completely ready for Côté. Patrick Côté only has one loss in his last six fights. Coming off a first round victory over Alessio Sakara due to Sakara’s disqualification and a loss to Chung Le, I’m pretty sure Côté will be coming back ready to swing with a ‘Win’ in near sight.

Prediction: Côté wins in Round 2 by TKO

Major Preliminary Card fight – Broadcast only on PPV

Jake Ellenberger VS Nate Marquardt
This is another fight where I had the opportunity to see one of these fighters throw down in person. I believe it was in February 2006 at VFC 12: Warpath in Council Bluffs, Iowa I saw Ellenberger defeat Mark Bear by way of TKO and a cut. Ellenberger is coming off a win over Jay Hieron last October, who I also enjoy watching fight ever since I saw him take a knock out punch and wake up to grab a takedown on the way to falling on the mat. Daniel Nisley is also a big fan of Jay, who fights out of Las Vegas, NV. Despite snatching the Strikeforce welterweight belt from Tyron Woodly by 4th round KO last July, Marquardt gave it up to Tarec Saffiedine on his next and most recent fight in January, 2013. Marquardt is now returning to the UFC for the first time since his win over Dan Miller in UFC 128, he should be motivated for this big show welterweight fight trying to make his way back up the ladder since re-signing with UFC.

Prediction: Marquardt wins in Round 3 by TKO.

Carlos Condit VS Johny Hendricks
When Condit sees GSP for the first time since he lost to unanimous decision last November, I can only assume he is building up his motivation to fight GSP once again sometime soon hopefully using Johny Hendricks as a live punching bag. I’m sure it is a little bitter-sweet for Condit knowing that he beat Nick Diaz in February 2012 and then lost to GSP in November – now Diaz and GSP fight right after this bout. Winning 13 of his last 15 fights, Condit has made a name for himself in the UFC and hopes to get another title shot – there is only one problem. His name is Johny Hendricks. With a long standing OSU wrestling background, Hendricks has skills on the ground and power in his hands – he went 56-0 his senior year at Ohio State in 2007. Now sitting at a pretty 14-1 MMA record, Hendricks is in a direct line for the title shot against GSP (assuming he doesn’t lose immediately after his fight with Condit to Nick Diaz). With notable wins over Martin Kampmann, Josh Koscheck and 12 second KO over Jon Fitch, Hendricks is on a B-line for the welterweight belt.

Prediction: Hendricks wins in Round 2 by TKO (ground & pound after big head shot)

UFC 158 Welterweight Title Fight

Georges St-Pierre (Champ) VS Nick Diaz
The fight the world has been waiting for, GSP’s dark side to beat Nick Diaz down (assuming the soccer mom in Lodi, CA hasn’t already done it, see pre-fight conference call). If you have a chance to listen to the call, Diaz try’s to defend his ‘good guy, hard working past’ but eventually digs himself deeper by opening his mouth and getting loud with GSP (it could have been Geoff from Craig Ferguson late show) on the phone. Long story short, GSP came back to the UFC after a long injury and looked bigger and better than ever against Condit last November. Having not lost since 2007, GSP needs to not let his dark side over-commit to Diaz as he could land some hard counter punches and upset the 7 time defending champion.  

I’m not a big fan of Nick Diaz, nor his brother Nate; however I do know that Nick has been in the fighting game for a long time and his most recent fights other than losing to Condit have been more than impressive. I’m thinking that GSP will want to bring this fight to the ground and not want to bang it out with Nick, which hopefully they will give the fans a show and keep it on their feet.

Predication: Diaz wins by TKO in 4th Round (GSP’s dark side is going to over-commit and get him KTFO)

Friday, December 7, 2012

Fight Predictions for UFC on Fox 5: Henderson vs. Diaz


I'm publishing this now because this Saturday will prove to be a very busy day for me and I simply wont have time to get in and publish it. Saturday morning Lucas has a baseball game at 11:15a, then his baseball end of season party. After that we I’m sure will have to get some lunch, then go back to the house and finish unpacking the front room so we can put up our Christmas tree Sunday. Then Saturday night, UFC free on FOX but Angel has her Christmas party so we are still debating whether I am going to go or not, we can always record the fights but then again it would be good for her to interact with her staff outside of work.

Jeremy Stephens is fighting on the Preliminary card on FX, glad he got back into the mix after the Minneapolis mis-happening, hopefully that is behind him now. Speaking of Lil Heathen, I wrote a post on the Crazy Amigo about the “5 of the Most Memorable Uppercuts in History” and included him in the post. Check it out.

 Now for the UFC on fox 5 pre-fight predictions

Dennis Siver VS Nam Phan         
Many of you remember Nam Phan from the Ultimate Fighter series, probably most likely when he got walked in on in the shower…helping himself out..anywho, he is fighting Germany’s Dennis Siver and though Pham is a tough dude, I think Siver is going to take it.

Projected Winner: Dennis Siver, 2nd Round, TKO

Yves Edwards VS Jeremy Stephens
Though Yves has been in the game for a long time, I think Jeremy is going to take this one. He has heavier hands and I simply have to stay on the same side as my roots. Lil’ Heathen is from Des Moines, Iowa and I could share some experiences with him but that would be an individual post in itself – good times Jeremy & good luck tomorrow!

Projected Winner: Jeremy Stephens, 2nd Round, KO

Mike Swick VS Matt Brown
Matt Brown is a strong up and comer while Mike Swick is a good fighter; he hasn’t shown much lately that he is moving forward and progressing his fighting skills. Swick just isn’t as crisp as he used to be and has many rungs on the ladder to climb before he sees a chance at a title shot. I think Brown is going to take this one.

Projected Winner: Matt Brown, 3rd Round, Guillotine Choke (probably rear naked)

B.J. Penn VS Rory MacDonald
Oh B.J., why did you have to jump on the bandwagon and retire in the cage like a chump after you lost? You lost a lot of respect from a lot of high authority figures. Rory has only had a few fights in the UFC and isn’t past his prime. Penn, you are a good fighter and flexible as hell, your just too old – join Matt Hughes and Chuck Liddell on the couch, Rory is coming with a TKO.

Projected Winner: Rory MacDonald, 3rd Round, TKO

Maurício “Shogun” Rua VS Alexander Gustafsson          
Oh man this is going to be a tough one, Shogun is coming off a win in August over Brandon Vera while Gustafsson is on a 5 fight win streak taming two big names including Thiago Silva and Matt Hamill. Both Gustafsson  and Rua are great strikers and I think this fight is going to come down to stamina and heart. That being said, both fighters have great workout strategy and tremendous amount of heart so I am going to lean more on the experience on this one, Shogun.

Projected Winner: Maurício “Shogun” Rua, 2nd Round, TKO

AND FOR THE MAIN EVENT:
Benson Henderson VS Nate Diaz
Henderson is from Phoenix, since I currently reside here I am leaning his direction and I guess, I have never been a huge fan of either of the Diaz brothers. Though Nate has both good hands and a sick ass ground game, I think that he is going to either get rocked or want to take it to the judges and shoot for takedowns to gain points. 

Projected Winner: Nate Diaz, 3 Rounds, Decision

Feel free to leave a comment on who you think is going to win, here is the entire fight card, copy / paste if you like:
Benson Henderson VS Nate Diaz
Maurício Rua VS Alexander Gustafsson
B.J. Penn VS Rory MacDonald
Mike Swick VS Matt Brown
Yves Edwards VS Jeremy Stephens
Raphael Assunção VS Mike Easton
Ramsey Nijem VS Joe Proctor
Daron Cruickshank VS Henry Martinez  
Tim Means VS Abel Trujillo
Dennis Siver VS Nam Phan
Scott Jorgensen VS John Albert